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Analysis: 89 Percent of Independents Say Trump Conviction Makes Them Either More Likely to Support Trump or No Difference


15 percent of independents said that the New York City of conviction would make them

more likely to support former President Donald Trump in 2024 election against incumbent President Joe Biden, with only 11 percent saying it would make them less likely. Overall, that would mean the conviction by Democratic prosecutors, the jury and the judge in the deep blue New York City might have been highly counterproductive to helping reelect Biden, as it appears to net Trump +1 percent on the question, and -1 percent for Biden.

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