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Are Trump’s Polls Understating His Lead?


Trump will win every state he won in 2020, including North Carolina. This gives him a floor

of 235 electoral votes. He will also win Georgia, which gets him to 251. If he wins Pennsylvania, he’s there. Sadly, that probably won’t happen. He may well win Michigan, however, which will get him to 266 electoral votes. Then, all he needs is Nevada(6) or Arizona (11) and he’s home. All of this assumes that Trump’s current poll numbers are accurate. It is more likely that they understate his support. Voters remember the peace and prosperity.

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